By May 10, 2012 0 Comments Read More →

PROJECT RISK MANAGEMENT WITH MONTECARLO SIMULATION

PROJECT RISK MANAGEMENT WITH MONTECARLO SIMULATION
Hotel UNY,  Yogyakarta |  Senin-Rabu , 2 – 4 Juli  2012 |  Rp. 5.500.000 per peserta


ABSTRACK

Simulation often leads to a better understanding of the real system. Years of experience in the real system can be compressed into seconds or minutes. Simulation does not disrupt ongoing activities of the real system. Simulation can be used when data is hard to come by. Simulation can provide a more realistic replication of a system than mathematical analysis.Simulation can be used to analyze transient conditions, whereas mathematical techniques usually cannot. Simulation considers variation and can calculate confidence intervals of model results. Simulation can model a system with multiple phases. Simulation can model a system when it is already in a steady-state (i.e., can initialize the system with the beginning queue, beginning inventory, etc.!). Simulation can also test a “range” of inputs to perform what-if/sensitivity analysis

OBJECTIVE

  1. Understand how to simulate model
  2. Understand how to use software

 

OUTLINE

  1. Simple Statistic and Probability
    • Probability
    • Descriptif and inferensial statistics with Excel
    • Statistics distribution with Excel
  1. Monte Carlo Introducing
    • what is Simulation
    • what is Monte Carlo Simulation
    • Advantage of Monte Carlo
  1. Monte Carlo Simulation and Crystal Ball Software
    • simulation without Monte Carlo
    • Cost and scheduling
  1. Cases using Monte Carlo Simulation
    • Risk analysis with EVM
    • PERT

 

 

INSTRUCTOR

SIGIT BUDI HARYONO

Magister mekanika bahan FT Mesin UGM ini saat ini menjabat sebagai kepala laboratorium welding & metalurgy STTNAS Yogyakarta, aktif sebagai instruktur dan narasumber di berbagai perusahaan dan dalam berbagai pelatihan terkait kompetensi yang dimilikinya

 PARTICIPANT

  • Risk analysis/head of project/owner of project (project management)
  • Financial analysis (finance)
  • Marketing research
  • Operating management (industrical products)
  • etc who face with uncertenty

DATE  AND VENUE

  • Hotel UNY Yogyakarta
  • Senin-Rabu , 2 – 4 Juli  2012
  • 08.00  – 16.00 WIB

 

TUTION FEE

Biaya Rp. 5.500.000 per peserta (Non Residential).
FACILITIES
Training Modules, Training Kit, Certificate, Exclusive Souvenir, Dinner & City Tour, Coffee Break & Lunch

 

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http://www.twitter.com/avisdjamal

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